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EC · Sentinel GQI Component

Nairobi County
Electoral Competition

78.5
out of 100 Data: Q4 2025
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Score — Nairobi County
78.5
Data: Q4 2025
First measurement period
Average across scored areas
71.4
3 areas with data
Rank
#1
of 3 scored areas

What this index measures:
How fairly and freely elections are run in this area. We look at whether voter rolls are complete, how many candidates stood, how many results were disputed in court, and whether electoral officials followed the law on timing and process. A high score means elections here are competitive and broadly trusted. A low score means there were significant problems.

Technical definition:
Measures the quality and legitimacy of electoral processes at the relevant administrative scale. Covers voter registration completeness, candidate field diversity, electoral dispute rates and resolution, turnout relative to registration, and compliance with statutory electoral timelines.

How to read the score: 80 or above indicates competitive elections with low dispute rates and high statutory compliance. Below 40 indicates significant process failures.

Primary data sources: Electoral commission records (Kenya IEBC, Uganda EC, Rwanda NEC), court records of electoral petitions, gazette notices of election results.

Full methodology →

Investment context

Nairobi County has a strong electoral competition score of 78.5, indicating competitive elections, low dispute rates, and reliable democratic processes. For investors and development partners, this signals institutional stability and predictable policy continuity.

Sectors to consider:
Long-term infrastructure investment Development finance Public-private partnerships

Investment context is derived from governance scores using a templated framework. It does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct independent due diligence. Contact us for bespoke analysis.

Ground truth — what is happening on the ground

Events, decisions, and verified community observations that shape this score.

No verified observations for this area and index yet. Submit a tip →

From the editorial archive

Constituent variables and audit data

The specific data points, audit findings, and sub-indicators that underlie this score.

VariablePeriodValue SourceStatus
Electoral Competition composite Q4 2025 78.5 COB Q4 2025 Verified
Measurement basis — Official records only Sentinel v1.0 Published

Register free — sub-indicator breakdowns

Licensed access — full constituent data & API

Frequently asked questions

What does the Electoral Competition score measure for Nairobi County?
The Electoral Competition (EC) index measures how fairly and freely elections are run in Nairobi County. How fairly and freely elections are run in this area. We look at whether voter rolls are complete, how many candidates stood, how many results were disputed in court, and whether electoral officials followed the law on timing and process. A high score means elections here are competitive and broadly trusted. A low score means there were significant problems.
How does Nairobi County compare to the regional average on Electoral Competition?
Nairobi County scores 78.5 on Electoral Competition. The average across all scored areas is 71.4. Nairobi County is above the average.
What data sources does Mulembe Nation use to score Electoral Competition in Nairobi County?
Electoral commission records (Kenya IEBC, Uganda EC, Rwanda NEC), court records of electoral petitions, gazette notices of election results.
How often is the Electoral Competition score updated?
Sentinel Index scores are updated quarterly where source data is available. The current score for Nairobi County reflects Q4 2025. Major governance events may trigger off-cycle updates.
Related scores and areas
Nairobi County  Administrative Process Compliance Same area, different index Nairobi County  Last-Mile Execution Same area, different index Kakamega County  70.4 Same index, different area Bungoma County  65.2 Same index, different area